European shares rebound from lows, euro set for best month in a decade

imageEconomy13 hours ago (Jul 31, 2020 08:37AM ET)

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(C) Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Security guard wearing a face mask walks past the Bund Financial Bull statue on The Bund in Shanghai

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By Ritvik Carvalho

LONDON (Reuters) – European shares recovered from their lowest levels in a month on Friday, as investors looked past a severe economic contraction in the euro zone and on to company earnings, while the euro reached its highest in more than two years, set for its best month in a decade.

The euro zone’s economy recorded its deepest contraction on record in the second quarter, preliminary estimates showed, but inflation unexpectedly ticked up in July.

Gross domestic product in the bloc shrank by 12.1% from the previous quarter, the European Union’s statistics office, Eurostat, said in its flash estimates. The decline coincided with coronavirus lockdowns, which in many euro zone countries began to ease only in May.

The pan-European STOXX 600 (STOXX) rose 0.6%, though it was on course to end the month flat or lower. Technology shares (SX8P) led the rally, rising over 2% after Wall Street’s tech giants, Apple (O:AAPL), Amazon (O:AMZN) and Facebook (O:FB), reported forecast-beating results overnight.

MSCI’s All Country World Index, which tracks shares across 49 countries, was down 0.04% on the day. (MIWD00000PUS)

“Germany’s (-10.1%) and France’s ( -13.8%) numbers have already shaped expectations around the magnitude of the 2Q slump in the aggregated eurozone economy,” ING strategists said in a note to clients.

“Markets will therefore focus on assessing the slowdown in the Italian and Spanish economies, which were among the first and worst-hit countries in the pandemic.”

They added the euro could hit $1.20 within the next few days. The single currency passed $1.19 on Friday, though it fell back below the handle by midday in London. (EUR=EBS)

The dollar was set for its worst month in a decade against a basket of currencies, as abysmal economic data for the second quarter and rising global COVID-19 cases darkened the mood. The dollar index (=USD) gained 0.2% on Friday to 93.011 (DXY) [FRX/]

Expectations the U.S. Federal Reserve will maintain its ultra-loose monetary policy for years have contributed to a depressed dollar.

U.S. gross domestic product plunged 32.9% in the second quarter, the biggest decline on record. Jobless claims rose last week, another sign the economic recovery has slowed.

Those figures overshadowed positive manufacturing data from China and Japan. China’s official Purchasing Manager’s Index data showed that factory activity grew in July for a fifth straight month and at a faster pace, defying expectations of a slowdown. Japan’s industrial output snapped four months of declines in June.

Earlier in Asia, shares turned lower on Friday amid the economic data from the United States and rising global COVID-19 cases. After rising in early trade, MSCI’s broadest index of Asian shares outside Japan (MIAPJ0000PUS) turned lower. It was last down 0.3%.

Australian shares (AXJO) were down 2.04% and Seoul’s Kospi (KS11) ticked 0.64% lower. Japan’s Nikkei (N225) dropped 2.82% as a stronger yen weighed on exporters.

Chinese blue chips (CSI300) were last up 0.35% in a session that swung repeatedly between gains and losses.

Futures continued to point to a higher open on Wall Street on Friday. Apple (O:AAPL), Amazon (O:AMZN), Facebook (O:FB) and Alphabet (O:GOOGL) reported quarterly earnings on the same day for the first time ever, all topping Wall Street estimates.

“All of them punched the lights out with respect to their earnings numbers,” said National Australia Bank (OTC:NABZY) strategist Ray Attrill.

E-mini futures for the S&P 500 (ESc1) rose 0.2% and Nasdaq futures gained over 1%.

U.S. stock markets, oil prices and the dollar slid on Thursday as the data underscored the economic impact of the coronavirus and U.S. President Donald Trump raised the possibility of delaying the November election.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) fell 0.85%, the S&P 500 (SPX) lost 0.38% and the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) added 0.43%.

Crude oil recovered from an overnight slump, with global benchmark Brent crude (LCOc1) rising 0.7% to 43.25 a barrel. U.S. light crude added 0.5% to $40.21 per barrel. (CLc1)

Gold also turned higher, with spot gold trading 0.64% higher at $1,972.19 per ounce, just short of record highs.

U.S. benchmark 10-year Treasury notes (US10YT=RR) yielded 0.5363%. The two-year yield (US2YT=RR) touched 0.1152% compared with a U.S. close of 0.121%.

Italian 10-year bond yields were set for their biggest monthly drop since January on Friday, boosted by the recovery fund agreed by the European Union last week.

European shares rebound from lows, euro set for best month in a decade

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